Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Age of the Earth Part 3

The age of the earth, Part III
Radiometric dating

I) Many dating methods
    1) There have and are many dating techniques that have been tried in order to give the
         age of the Earth.
    2) In fact, at latest count, there are over 70 different techniques that have been proposed
        at one time or another.
    3) Over half of the techniques show an age for the earth of less than 1 million years.
    4) Yet, we never hear of these in the classroom or in debates.
    5) There are only 7 which give ages in the billions of years.  These are the accepted
         techniques since they defend the idea of evolution.
    6) They are as follows
        A) Samarium - Neodymium. (Sm-Nd)
                        B) Rhenium - Osmium (Re-Os)
                        C) Uranium / Thorium - Lead. (U/Th-Pb)
                        D) Rubidium - Strontium (Rb-Sr)
                        E) Potassium - Argon dating (K-Ar)
                        F) Argon - Argon (Ar-Ar)
                        G) Lutetium - Hafnium (Lu-Hf)
    7) It is the radioactive decay of uranium and similar elements that yield an age for the
        Earth in billions of years and it is the one method that has been enthusiastically
        promoted by Darwinists and uniformitarian geologists, while all other methods
        have been neglected.

II) All methods of measuring the age of the earth are subject to defects
    1) All methods of measuring time, whether for domestic or scientific purposes, rely on
        the same basic principle; monitoring the rate of some constant natural process.
    2) Today, our most sophisticated chronometric methods involve the rate at which a
         quartz crystal vibrates when an electric potential is applied to it, and the rate at which
        radioactive elements decay (said to be the most constant of all).
    3) But having some readily available process to measure is not enough by itself.  To
        measure elapsed time accurately we MUST;
        A) Be sure that the process does in fact remain constant, even when we are not
            watching.
        B) We MUST know the starting value of the clock.
        C) We MUST be sure that some external factor cannot interfere with the process
             while it is in operation.
    4) All these conditions apply to measuring time today.  When it comes to the science of
        geochronometry, the process we choose will have started in prehistoric times, which
        we have no method of directly observing and verifying.  This means we MUST make
        sure as far as possible that our three conditions (listed above) were met in the past
        as well as in the present.  This is where the problems begin.
    5) On such example would be the increasing salinity of the oceans as proposed by the
         Irish geologists John Joly in 1898.  On the face of it this is a promising method, since
         it can be assumed that initially the oceans consisted of fresh water, and the present-day
         accumulation of salt is due to erosion of land masses by rain fall and the subsequent
         transport of dissolved salt into the seas by way of the world’s rivers.  Even more
         encouraging is the fact that the rate of erosion of the land by rainfall is surprisingly
         constant each year (about 540 millions tons of salt a year).  All that would be
         necessary is to measure the present-day concentration of salt is the sea (32 grams
         per liter); calculate from this the total amount in all the oceans (about 5x10 to the 16th
         power tons); and divide this total by the annual amount of salt deposited to get the age
         of the earth.
    6) Using this method, Joly came up with an age of 100 million years.  Unfortunately,
         when we apply the 3 conditions mentioned above to this method, its shortcomings
         quickly become obvious.
        A) We cannot be sure that the annual runoff of dissolved salt has always been
               constant.  There is good reason to suppose that climatic conditions have been
                very different in the past (with ice ages and major droughts) which might
              have had an effect that is not calculable.
        B) We cannot be quite sure that there was 0 salt in the sea to begin with.  Initially,
              salt might have been present, though no one can say how much.
        C) It turns out that an apparently constant process is interfered with by external
             factors.  Large amount of salt are recirculated into the atmosphere, and recent
             evidence suggests that the salt in the sea might actually be in a steady state.
    7) All methods of measuring the age of the earth are subject, to some extent, to the same
        defects, quite simply, no one was there at the time to check up on our 3 criteria.

III) Radioactive methods used
    1) The technique covers a family of methods involving the radioactive decay of a number
         of different metallic elements with very long half-lives.
    2) These include uranium and its sister element thorium, which both decay in helium
         and lead; rubidium, which decays into strontium, and potassium, which decays into
         argon and calcium.
    3) Uranium and thorium methods
        A) The basic principle is this; over very long periods of time uranium
              spontaneously decays into lead and helium gas.  The rate of decay is
             remarkably constant.  The atoms of the uranium are unstable and
             periodically throw off an alpha particle, which is the nucleus of an
             atom of helium.
        B) The important part of the theory is that the kind of lead into which uranium
             eventually decays is chemically distinctive from common lead already
             present in the rocks, and is referred to as radiogenic lead, a daughter
                 product of the decay process.  Common lead is an isotope called lead 204,
             while the decay product of uranium 238 is lead 206.  In order to date a
             rock deposit, a sample is taken and the amount of radioactive uranium,
             together with the amount of radiogenic lead it contains, is measured in the
             laboratory.  Since the rate of decay is known from modern measurements,
             it is possible to calculate directly how long the uranium has been decaying,
             or how old the deposit is.
        C) The half-life of uranium 238 has been calculated to be 4,500 million years.
             To take a simplistic example, if the assay showed that a deposit was composed
             of half uranium 238 and half its daughter product lead 206, then one would
             draw the conclusion that the deposit was 4,500 million years old.
        D) It would seem on the face of it that the uranium method seems to be the ideal
             method and above scientific suspicion.  Yet research in recent decades has
             begun to cast serious doubts on its reliability.
        E) The first criterion of any dating method is that we must know the starting
             value of the process we are measuring; we must have a starting point or
             reference point from which to make our calculations.
            1) Uranium decay seems to fill this requirement since the type of lead
                 which results from the decay process is said to be uniquely formed as
                 a by-product of the process.
            2) If radiogenic lead (lead 206 and lead 207 from uranium, and lead 208
                 from thorium) really is uniquely formed as the end product of decay,
                 then it is perfectly reasonable to suppose that there was no radiogenic
                 lead in the rocks when they first formed.  So, it would seem that we
                 have a reliable starting point.
        F) However, some have suggested that there is another way in which lead 206,
             207, and 208 could be formed separate from the decay process.
            1) This process is sometimes called “trammutation”
            2) Transmutation can occur through the capture of free neutrons (atomic
                 particles with enough energy to transmute common lead into so-called
                 radiogenic lead.
            3) The source of these free neutrons is in the radioactive ore deposit such
                 as uranium, where they occur through spontaneous fission.
            4) As well as decaying into radiogenic lead, it is also making available a
                 supply of particles which are spontaneously converting common lead
                 into another isotope which, on being assayed, will be indistinguishable
                 from a radiogenic product of alpha decay.
            5) This mechanism would tip the measurement in favor of an old earth.
                 To much radiogenic lead would lead us to imagine that the process
                 has been going on for much longer that it actually has.
            6) In the neutron capture process, the isotopic values of lead would be
                 systematically changed; lead 206 would be converted into lead 207,
                 lead 207 would be converted into lead 208 which constituted more than
                 half the lead present in any given deposit.  This is normally interpreted
                 as meaning that thorium, the parent element of lead 208, was very
                 common in the deposit in question, yet it also can be interpreted as
                 resulting from the free neutron capture process.
            7) This process has been documented.  In two of the world’s largest
                 uranium ore deposits, one in Zaire and the other in Canada, the
                 measurements that were taken have shown that while there was
                 practically no thorium 232 in the ore, they do contain a significant
                 amount of lead 208.  This could only be derived from lead 207 by
                 neutron capture which turned it into lead 208.
        G) But the method also fails the second criterion-that we must be reasonably
             sure no outside agency can interfere with the smooth running process.
            1) Uranium does not naturally occur in metallic form but as uranium
                 oxide.
            2) This material is highly soluble in water and is known to be moved
                 away from its original deposit in large quantities by ground waters.
            3) The type of effect this has on dating is unpredictable since some parts
                 of a mineral deposit can be unnaturally enriched while others are
                 unnaturally depleted.
        H) There is one further discovery relating to the uranium dating method.  It has
             to do with the other daughter product of the decay process.  Helium.
            1) If the uranium to lead dating technique is reliable, then the amount
                 of radiogenic helium in the atmosphere would yield a date for the
                 earth’s age consonant with that yielded by measuring the amount
                 of radiogenic lead in the crust.  Yet, the dates are so different as to be
                 irreconcilable.
            2) If the earth were 4,600 million years old, then there would be roughly
                10,000 billion tons of radiogenic helium 4 in the atmosphere.  Actually,
                 there are only around 3.5 billion tons present.
            3) Uniformitarian geologists have attempted to explain this by assuming
                 that the other 99.96 percent has escaped from the earth’s gravitational
                 field into space, yet this process has never been observed.
            4) In fact, more recent studies have suggested that fat from losing helium,
                the atmosphere may actually be gaining quantities of this gas.
            5) As the earth orbits the sun, it does not move through empty space but
                through a thin solar atmosphere, which consists principally of
                hydrogen and helium resulting from the nuclear processes within the
                sun.
            6) Measurements in the upper atmosphere have suggested that the earth is
                gaining helium by this means.
            7) If we take the measured amount of helium 4 in the atmosphere and
                apply the radioactive dating technique to it, we find that the calculation
                yields an age for the earth of around 175,000 years.
            8) This method fails our criteria of reliability in that the possible
                 acquisition of helium 4 from outside upsets the process.

    4) Potassium and rubidium methods
        A) Potassium minerals are commonly found in many rocks.  Potassium 40
             decays by capturing an electron and turning it into the gas argon 40, with
             a half-life of 1.3 billion years.
        B) Advocate of this method claim that the argon gas that results remains trapped
             in the crystal structures of the mineral in which it forms and accumulates
             through the ages, thus acting as a clock when the stored daughter isotope
             is released and measured.
        C) This method is suspect because argon 40 is a very common isotope in the
             atmosphere and the rocks of the earth’s crust.  In fact it is the 12th most
             abundant chemical element on earth and more than 99% of it is argon 40.
        D) There is no way to tell whether any given sample of argon 40 is the residue
             of radioactive decay or was present in the rocks when they were formed.
        E) Moreover, as argon is an inert gas that will not react with any other element,
             its atoms will always be trapped in the crystal structures of minerals no matter
             if it is the radiogenic kind or naturally occurring.
        F) It has been calculated that even if the earth were 5 billion years old, no more
             than 1% of the argon 40 currently present on the earth could be a radiogenic
             daughter product and it is thus highly probable that some of the argon 40 in all
             potassium minerals has been derived directly rather than as a result of decay.
        G) The possibility of anomalous inclusion of argon is not merely conjecture but
             is borne out by numerous studies of volcanic rocks that have resulted in false
             dates.
            1) The radiogenic argon and helium contents of three basalts erupted
                 into the deep ocean from an active volcano (Kilauea) have been
                 measured.  Ages calculated from these measurements increase with
                 sample depth up to 22 million years for lavas deduced to be present.
                 (Hawaiian Institute of Geophysics)
            2) Hawaiian basaltic lave actually dating from an eruption in 2801, near
                 Hualalei, came up with potassium-argon dates ranging from 160
                 million years to 3 billion years.
            3) In 1969, McDougall of the Australian National University measured the
                 ages of lave in New Zealand and got as age of 465,000 years whereas
                 the carbon dating of wood included in the lave showed it to be less
                 than 1,000 years old.
        H) Dating advocates accept that the potassium-argon methods can be flawed but
             claim that they know the occasions on which the results are correct and when
             they are not.  Like all radiometric methods, the potassium-argon method does
             not work on all rocks and minerals under all geologic conditions.  By many
             experiments over the past 3 decades, geologists have learned which rocks
             and minerals act as closed systems and under what geological conditions
             they do so.
            1) The problem with this belief is that there is no truly independent
                 means of verifying the age of any given sample.
            2) The experiments consist solely of rejecting dates that seem wrong
                 while accepting those that seem right.  “Seem” in this context means
                 in line with uniformitarian expectations, thus compiling a database
                 of self-fulfilling predictions.
        I) Radiogenic strontium-strontium 87- occurs in rocks as a result of the decay of
            radioactive rubidium.  However, this method is complicated by the fact that
            strontium 87 also occurs both as a daughter product and as a commonly
            Occurring element.  Typically, rocks contain 10 times more common
            strontium 87 than radiogenic strontium 87.  It is also suspect because it is
            subject to exactly the same neutron capture as uranium- lead.  This time
            strontium 86 can be turned into strontium 87.

IV) Why discordant ages are accepted
    1) Most disconcerting of all is the fact that these various methods of dating commonly
         produce discordant ages for the same rock deposit.
    2) Where this occurs, a “harmonization” is carried out, in other words, the figures are
         adjusted until the seem right.
    3) The chief tool employed to harmonize discordant dates is the simple device of labeling
         unexpected ages as anomalous and, in the future, discarding those rock samples that
         will lead to the anomalous dates.  This practice is the explanation of why many
         dating results seem to support each other, because all samples that give ages other
         than expected values are rejected as being unsuitable for dating.
    4) If radioactive dating is seriously flawed why is it so enthusiastically embraced.  There
         are 4 ways in which scientists could mislead themselves, ways that may be
         transparent to them, and which could lead them to obtain comparable results
         apparently independently.
        A) The untestable error.
            1) When errors in radiometric dates are pointed out by critics,
                 advocates of the method usually dismiss such criticisms on the grounds
                 that errors are very rare in comparison with the thousands of dates
                 that are not found to be incorrect.
            2) This is a misleading argument because the overwhelming majority
                 of dates can never be challenged or found to be flawed since there
                 is no genuinely independent evidence that can contradict the dates.
            3) The reason why known anomalies are very rare is simply because
                 independent evidence is very rare.
        B) The phenomenon of “ballpark thinking”
            1) This is exemplified by the error that was made in the curvature of the
                 mirror of the Hubble space telescope.  The error was not discovered
                 by normal inspection processes, even in one of the world’s best-
                 equipped labs, because it was so big, more that a centimeter out, that
                 it was outside the range that6 anyone was mentally prepared to check
                 on.  Had it been a millionth of a meter out, it would have been spotted
                 at once.
            2) Ever since Lyell estimated that the end of the Cretaceous was 80
                 million years ago, the accepted value has been in this ballpark.
                 Any dating scientist who suggested looking outside the ballpark, at 20
                 or 10 or 5 million years, would be looked on as a crackpot.
        C) The phenomenon of “intellectual phase-locking”
            1) It is not widely realized that the published value of physical constants
                 often varies.  Before is was settled internationally by definition, the
                 Measured value for the velocity of light varied considerably.
            2) One reason for such variation is that all scientists make experimental
                 errors that they have to correct.
            3) They naturally prefer to correct them in the direction of the currently
                 accepted value thus giving an unconscious trend to measured values.
            4) This group thinking has been given the name
                 “Intellectual phase- locking”.
        D) Powerful pressures to conform to the consensus.
            1) Dating geologists are offended by the suggestion that their belief can or
                 would influence the dates obtained. Yet nothing could be easier or
                 more natural.
            2) Take for example a rock sample from the Cretaceous period, which is
                 universally accepted to date from some 65 million years ago.  Any
                 dating scientist who obtained a date from the sample of 10 million
                 or 150 million years ago would not publish such a result because
                 they will, quite sincerely, assume it was in error.
            3) On the other hand, any dating scientist who did obtain a date of 65
                 million years age would hasten to publish it as widely possible.
            4) Thus the published dating figures always conform to preconceived
                 dates and never contradict those dates.
            5) If all the rejected dates were retrieved from the waste basket and added
                 to the published dates, the combined results would show that the
                 dates produced are the scatter that one would expect by chance alone.



                      

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